The Absolute Effect / Oncology Evidence / Evidence Index

Prostate Cancer · Medical · Relapsed / Refractory · PSMA-positive mCRPC after ARPI and taxane

VISION

In PSMA-positive mCRPC previously treated with an ARPI and taxane chemotherapy, does 177Lu-PSMA-617 plus standard care improve radiographic PFS and OS?

Registry: NCT03511664 · Evidence reviewed 9 November 2026 · Aliases and follow-up publications consolidated.

Phase III randomized; n=831.Primary-source evidence summary

Study design, population and eligibility

Design and sample

Phase III randomized; n=831.

Population

PSMA-positive mCRPC after ≥1 ARPI and 1–2 taxane regimens.

Treatment and comparator

Intervention: 177Lu-PSMA-617 7.4 GBq q6 weeks up to 6 cycles + standard care.

Comparator: Protocol-permitted standard care.

Endpoints

Imaging-based PFS and OS co-primary.

Key efficacy and clinical outcomes

Median imaging PFS 8.7 vs 3.4 mo (HR .40); OS 15.3 vs 11.3 mo (HR .62).

Source-reported outcome visualization

Values are reproduced from the cited report; bars are scaled within this figure. PSMA-positive mCRPC after ARPI and taxane

Median OS Lu-PSMA
15.3%
Median OS standard care
11.3%

Median survival and hazard ratios are not fixed-time event risks; NNT is not inferred from them.

Toxicity and treatment burden

Grade ≥3 AEs 52.7% vs 38%; fatigue, dry mouth, nausea, cytopenias and renal/marrow exposure.

Absolute effect and NNT/NNH

Post-ARPI/post-taxane population; selection by PSMA PET and control-arm restrictions matter.

NNT/NNH is not calculated unless a directly reported, comparable fixed-time risk difference supports it. Median survival and hazard ratios alone do not provide an NNT.

Critical interpretation and limitations

Post-ARPI/post-taxane population; selection by PSMA PET and control-arm restrictions matter.

This page is an evidence summary, not a substitute for multidisciplinary assessment or patient-specific decision-making.

Current-practice context

Review date: 9 November 2026. Primary publication and selected follow-up sources were reviewed. Full disease-specific guideline, regulatory-label and sequencing audit remains pending; verify current local recommendations and biomarker eligibility before clinical application.

Primary publication and authoritative source

https://www.nejm.org/doi/10.1056/NEJMoa2107322

ClinicalTrials.gov NCT03511664