SWOG 9346
In metastatic hormone-sensitive prostate cancer responding to initial ADT, can intermittent ADT preserve survival while reducing treatment burden?
Absolute Effect
The confidence interval crossed the prespecified non-inferiority boundary of 1.20; non-inferiority of intermittent ADT was therefore not established.
No defensible NNT for disease control should be derived from this non-inferiority trial.
Treatment burden and toxicity
There was no significant difference in high-grade treatment-related adverse events. Intermittent therapy substantially reduced cumulative ADT exposure.
Quality of life: At 3 months, intermittent therapy improved erectile function and mental health, although differences diminished later.
Subgroups / clinically important modifiers
Extent of metastatic disease and PSA response after induction are important modifiers; the trial did not establish universal interchangeability.
Limitations and maturity
Only patients with a good PSA response entered randomization, and the non-inferiority criterion was not met.
Clinical interpretation
This is an important example where a numerically modest difference cannot be relabelled as equivalence: the prespecified non-inferiority margin was crossed.