← The Absolute Effect
Head and Neck Cancer · Radiation · Definitive treatment of HPV-positive oropharyngeal cancer

NRG/RTOG 1016

In HPV-positive oropharyngeal cancer, is cetuximab non-inferior to cisplatin with definitive radiotherapy?

Trial design and population

Population / eligibility
849 eligible patients with HPV-positive oropharyngeal SCC.
Treatment vs comparator
IMRT 70 Gy/35 fractions with cisplatin 100 mg/m² on days 1 and 22 vs cetuximab loading dose then weekly.
Sample size
849 (reported trial population)
Featured endpoint
Five-year overall survival · 5 years

Registry: undefined.

Key results

Five-year OS 84.6% with cisplatin vs 77.9% with cetuximab; cetuximab-vs-cisplatin HR 1.45 (95% CI 1.03–2.05), p=0.0163. Cetuximab failed the prespecified non-inferiority criterion.

Outcome visualization

Five-year overall survival · 5 years · 84.6

Cetuximab + RT
77.9
Moderate-to-severe acute/late toxicity was not significantly reduced with cetuximab. Cisplatin risks include renal, auditory, neurologic and emetic toxicity; cetuximab adds rash and infusion reactions.
Cisplatin + RT

Bars scale to the larger reported value. Median survival values are time-to-event summaries, not fixed-time absolute event risks.

Absolute Effect

Endpoint/time horizon: Five-year overall survival · 5 years · 84.6.

NNT: Not calculated from median survival or hazard ratios; calculate only from defensible fixed-time absolute risks.

NNH: Not calculated unless a fixed-time excess-harm risk difference is available. Cetuximab is not an efficacy-equivalent de-escalation substitute in cisplatin-eligible patients. Individualize alternatives for cisplatin-ineligible patients.

Safety, burden and QoL

Cetuximab is not an efficacy-equivalent de-escalation substitute in cisplatin-eligible patients. Individualize alternatives for cisplatin-ineligible patients.

QoL and discontinuation percentages are not asserted where not verified from the full primary report; complete source-table audit remains a QC item.

Subgroups, maturity and limitations

https://pubmed.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/30449625/

Distinguish prespecified from exploratory subgroups, immature from mature endpoints, and superiority from non-inferiority. Historical comparators may not represent all current treatment sequences.

Current-practice context · 21 October 2026

Verify current guidelines, regulatory status, biomarker requirements, prior treatment, comorbidities and patient goals before applying these historical trial results. Clinical freshness and full QoL/toxicity source review remain open where noted.

Primary and authoritative sources