The Absolute Effect / Oncology Evidence / Evidence Index

Prostate Cancer · Medical · Relapsed / Refractory · Taxane-naive PSMA-positive mCRPC after one ARPI

PSMAfore

In taxane-naive PSMA-positive mCRPC progressing after one ARPI, does 177Lu-PSMA-617 improve radiographic PFS over switching to another ARPI?

Registry: NCT04689828 · Evidence reviewed 9 November 2026 · Aliases and follow-up publications consolidated.

Phase III randomized open-label; n=468; crossover permitted.Primary-source evidence summary

Study design, population and eligibility

Design and sample

Phase III randomized open-label; n=468; crossover permitted.

Population

PSMA-positive mCRPC after one ARPI, taxane-naive and appropriate to delay taxane.

Treatment and comparator

Intervention: 177Lu-PSMA-617 q6 weeks up to six cycles.

Comparator: Switch to alternative ARPI.

Endpoints

rPFS by BICR primary.

Key efficacy and clinical outcomes

Primary median rPFS 9.30 vs 5.55 mo (HR .41); updated 11.60 vs 5.59 mo (HR .49); 57% control crossed over.

Source-reported outcome visualization

Values are reproduced from the cited report; bars are scaled within this figure. Taxane-naive PSMA-positive mCRPC after one ARPI

Median rPFS Lu-PSMA
9.3%
Median rPFS ARPI switch
5.55%

Median survival and hazard ratios are not fixed-time event risks; NNT is not inferred from them.

Toxicity and treatment burden

Grade 3–5 AEs 36% vs 48%; xerostomia, fatigue, nausea, cytopenias.

Absolute effect and NNT/NNH

Crossover complicates OS; unlike VISION, taxane-naive and comparator is ARPI switch.

NNT/NNH is not calculated unless a directly reported, comparable fixed-time risk difference supports it. Median survival and hazard ratios alone do not provide an NNT.

Critical interpretation and limitations

Crossover complicates OS; unlike VISION, taxane-naive and comparator is ARPI switch.

This page is an evidence summary, not a substitute for multidisciplinary assessment or patient-specific decision-making.

Current-practice context

Review date: 9 November 2026. Primary publication and selected follow-up sources were reviewed. Full disease-specific guideline, regulatory-label and sequencing audit remains pending; verify current local recommendations and biomarker eligibility before clinical application.

Primary publication and authoritative source

https://pmc.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/articles/12121614/

ClinicalTrials.gov NCT04689828