In older women with low-risk HR-positive node-negative breast cancer, what is the absolute benefit of adjuvant breast RT?
Trial context
Population
1,326 women ≥65 years with low-risk HR-positive node-negative breast cancer
Intervention
Whole-breast RT vs no RT after BCS + endocrine therapy
Key endpoint
10-year local recurrence
Time horizon / follow-up
10 years
Absolute Effect
What changes for patients?
10-year local recurrence was 0.9% with RT versus 9.5% without RT, an absolute reduction of 8.6 percentage points (NNT 12). Overall survival was essentially identical, 80.7% vs 80.8%. NNT is based on 10-year local recurrence.
NNT: 12
Treatment burden / harm
Additional RT toxicity
NNH: Not quantifiable from the trial's main reported toxicity data
Relative effect
HR: 10.4 for no RT vs RT
95% CI 4.1–26.1
Clinical interpretation
PRIME II shows that omitting RT in carefully selected older women on endocrine therapy increases local recurrence without changing overall survival at 10 years.
Primary publication
Kunkler IH, et al. N Engl J Med. 2023;388:585–594.
Current-practice context · reviewed 14 October 2026
PRIME II supports omitting breast radiotherapy for carefully selected older women with low-risk HR-positive, node-negative disease who will take endocrine therapy, accepting a higher 10-year local recurrence risk without an overall-survival penalty. Selection depends on tumour size/grade, margins, endocrine adherence, life expectancy and patient preferences; omission should not be generalized to higher-risk biology or patients unlikely to take endocrine therapy.