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Bladder Cancer · Medical Oncology · Evidence review 2026-10-14

POTOMAC

In BCG-naïve high-risk NMIBC after TURBT, does adding durvalumab to BCG induction and maintenance improve disease-free survival?

Population
1,018 patients with BCG-naïve high-risk non-muscle-invasive bladder cancer after transurethral resection.
Experimental treatment
Durvalumab every 4 weeks for up to 13 cycles with BCG induction and maintenance.
Comparator
BCG induction and maintenance alone; the trial also included a durvalumab-plus-BCG-induction-only arm.
Study design
Phase III randomized trial

Key reported outcomes

Values are reproduced from the linked sources. Bars are a visual aid and are scaled within each outcome row; do not compare bar lengths across different endpoints.

Disease-free survival events by analysis
Treatment
20%
Comparator
29%
DFS hazard ratio
Treatment
0.68
Comparator
1.00
Grade 3–4 treatment-related AEs
Treatment
21%
Comparator
4%

At median follow-up of 60.7 months, DFS events occurred in 20% with durvalumab plus BCG induction/maintenance versus 29% with BCG induction/maintenance alone (HR 0.68, 95% CI 0.50–0.93; P=0.015). Grade 3–4 treatment-related adverse events were 21% versus 4%.

Critical appraisal

Open-label phase III trial. The event percentages are reported analysis proportions, not a fixed-time Kaplan–Meier estimate; do not use them to calculate an NNT without a common time horizon. Immune toxicity is added to BCG-related urinary and systemic effects.

Absolute-effect discipline: NNT/NNH is not calculated unless a defensible absolute difference and a common time horizon are available. Median survival differences and hazard ratios alone are not converted into NNT.

Current-practice context

Reviewed 2026-10-14; this is a dated evidence-context note, not a substitute for local guidelines or individual clinical judgement.

US FDA approval of durvalumab plus BCG for BCG-naïve high-risk NMIBC was granted on 28 May 2026. Preserve the distinction between this approved combination and the separate durvalumab-plus-BCG-induction-only trial arm.

Freshness status: this page has a dated context and source links, but is not a claim that every relevant guideline or subsequent publication has been exhaustively reviewed.

Sources