NSABP B-14
In ER-positive, node-negative breast cancer, does 5 years of tamoxifen improve outcomes compared with placebo?
Absolute Effect
At 5 years, DFS was 82% with tamoxifen vs 72% with placebo: an absolute improvement of 10 percentage points, corresponding to an NNT of approximately 10.
Long-term follow-up confirmed durable benefit from the original 5-year tamoxifen strategy. Extending tamoxifen beyond 5 years in the B-14 rerandomization did not add benefit.
Clinical interpretation
B-14 was foundational evidence for adjuvant endocrine therapy in ER-positive node-negative breast cancer. The absolute benefit is recurrence reduction rather than a demonstrated large early overall-survival gain.
Duration question
Among women disease-free after 5 years of tamoxifen, continuing tamoxifen rather than stopping did not improve DFS or survival in the subsequent randomized comparison.