The Absolute Effect / Evidence / GETUG-13
Germ Cell Tumours · Medical Oncology · Risk-adapted Treatment

GETUG-13

Clinical question

Can early tumour-marker decline identify poor-prognosis GCT patients who benefit from intensified chemotherapy?

Trial context
Population
263 patients with IGCCCG poor-prognosis germ-cell tumours; 203 with unfavorable marker decline randomized
Intervention
Tumour-marker decline guided dose-dense chemotherapy vs continued BEP in poor-prognosis NSGCT
Key endpoint
5-year progression-free survival
Time horizon / follow-up
Median follow-up 7.1 years
Absolute Effect

What changes for patients?

Among patients with an unfavorable tumour-marker decline after one BEP cycle, switching to dose-dense intensified chemotherapy increased 5-year PFS from 46.7% to 58.9%, an absolute benefit of 12.2 points (NNT 9). Five-year OS was 70.9% vs 61.3%, HR 0.74, but this difference was not statistically significant. NNT is based on 5-year PFS.

NNT: 9

Treatment burden / harm

Grade 3 motor neurotoxicity at 1 year

NNH: Not quantifiable from the reported time-specific toxicity denominator; intensified treatment caused more neurotoxicity and hematologic toxicity

Relative effect

HR: 0.65

95% CI 0.44–0.97; P=.036

Clinical interpretation

Unfavourable marker decline after one BEP cycle identifies poor-prognosis patients in whom dose-dense intensification improved PFS versus continuing standard BEP.

Primary publication

← Return to The Absolute Effect

Current-practice context · reviewed 14 October 2026

GETUG-13 supports marker-decline-guided intensification for poor-prognosis metastatic germ-cell tumour patients whose markers decline unfavourably after one cycle of BEP. The strategy is specialized and should be considered at experienced centres; it does not support intensifying all poor-risk patients regardless of early marker kinetics. Toxicity, fertility and long-term survivorship require explicit discussion.

GETUG-13 primary/long-term source ↗ · Current guideline guidance ↗